城乡一体化的动力机制与对策思路——以浙江省金华市为例   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

吴伟年 《世界地理研究》2002,11(4):46-53

文章首先分析了金华实施城乡一体化的背景，然后运用增长极理论阐述了该地区城乡一体化的动力机制，最后从工业园区化，农村城市化，基础设施一体化的角度，分析了制约此进程的一些因素。并提出了相应对策与思路。  相似文献   

A study of design spectra based on attenuation relationship of ground motion     

NI Yong-jun  ZHU Xi 《地震学报(英文版)》2001,14(6):705-710

In recent years, more and more studies are focused on the performance in seismic design instead of the strength of structures. People have realized that the structure deformation (displacement) can describe the damage more properly and directly than the strength (force). The displacement design spectra need to be constructed within more wide range of the period and the damping for the displacement-based seismic design.  相似文献   

动态指标层析法介绍     

钱晓军  费琪 《地质科技情报》1996,15(3):71-75

参数值是影响模拟结果正确可信的重要因素。介绍了一、二维模拟中参数值确定的动态指标层析法，以及作为其发展基础的由多种热指标确定古充的反演方法，简述了动态指标和热指标相结合的确定参数值层析方法。  相似文献   

地形对两次寒潮过程影响的数值模拟研究   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：2  

惠小英  罗四维 《高原气象》1993,12(3):283-293

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基于声发射的岩石破裂应力场动态反演     

刘飞跃  杨天鸿  张鹏海  周靖人  邓文学  侯宪港  赵永川 《岩土力学》2018,39(4):1517-1524

为获取岩石在破裂过程中的动态应力场,首先进行室内物理试验获取声发射数据,在此基础上基于能量耗散原理,利用实测声发射信息建立起岩石细观损伤表征方程,并通过FLAC3D内嵌FISH语言进行二次开发,自动搜索声发射损伤影响范围内岩石单元并对其力学参数进行弱化,计算得到较为真实的岩石破裂动态应力场。结果表明,计算得到的岩石破裂应力场与实测结果有良好的对应关系,验证了岩石细观损伤表征方法的合理性。同时,获得的岩石动态破裂应力场不仅可以从岩石力学的角度解释破坏产生的原因,也对预测岩石下一步破坏具有指导意义。但这种方法仍具有一定的局限性,需要进一步的探索研究。  相似文献   

Normal forms for the epicyclic approximations of the perturbed Kepler problem     

Giuseppe Pucacco 《New Astronomy》2012,17(5):475-482

We compute the normal forms for the Hamiltonian leading to the epicyclic approximations of the (perturbed) Kepler problem in the plane. The Hamiltonian setting corresponds to the dynamics in the Hill synodic system where, by means of the tidal expansion of the potential, the equations of motion take the form of perturbed harmonic oscillators in a rotating frame. In the unperturbed, purely Keplerian case, the post-epicyclic solutions produced with the normal form coincide with those obtained from the expansion of the solution of the Kepler equation. In all cases where the perturbed problem can be cast in autonomous form, the solution is easily obtained as a perturbation series. The generalization to the spatial problem and/or the non-autonomous case is straightforward.  相似文献   

Meteorology in Canada: A reaction to the rose report     

K. D. Hage 《大气与海洋》2013,51(1):8-14

The methods used in an earlier study focusing on the province of Ontario, Canada, were adapted for this current study to expand the study area over eastern Canada where the infrastructure is at risk of being impacted by freezing rain. To estimate possible impacts of climate change on future freezing rain events, a three-step process was used in the study: (1) statistical downscaling, (2) synoptic weather typing, and (3) future projections. A regression-based downscaling approach, constructed using different regression methods for different meteorological variables, was used to downscale the outputs of eight general circulation models to each of 42 hourly observing stations over eastern Canada. Using synoptic weather typing (principal components analysis, a clustering procedure, discriminant function analysis), the freezing rain-related weather types under historical climate (1958–2007) and future downscaled climate conditions (2016–2035, 2046–2065, 2081–2100) were identified for all selected stations. The potential changes in the frequency of future daily freezing rain events can be projected quantitatively by comparing future and historical frequencies of freezing rain-related weather types.

The modelled results show that eastern Canada could experience more freezing rain events late this century during the coldest months (i.e., December to February) than the averaged historical conditions. Conversely, during the warmest months of the study season (i.e., November and April in the southern regions, October in the northern regions), eastern Canada could experience less freezing rain events late this century. The increase in the number of daily freezing rain events in the future for the coldest months is projected to be progressively greater from south to north or from southwest to northeast across eastern Canada. The relative decrease in magnitude of future daily freezing rain events in the warmest months is projected to be much less than the relative increase in magnitude in the coldest months.  相似文献   

Statistical downscaling of summer temperature extremes in northern China     

范丽军  符淙斌  严中伟 《大气科学进展》2013,30(4):1085-1095

Two approaches of statistical downscaling were applied to indices of temperature extremes based on percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations at Beijing station in summer during 1960-2008. One was to downscale daily maximum and minimum temperatures by using EOF analysis and stepwise linear regression at first, then to calculate the indices of extremes; the other was to directly downscale the percentile-based indices by using seasonal large-scale temperature and geo-potential height records. The cross-validation results showed that the latter approach has a better performance than the former. Then, the latter approach was applied to 48 meteorological stations in northern China. The cross-validation results for all 48 stations showed close correlation between the percentile-based indices and the seasonal large-scale variables. Finally, future scenarios of indices of temperature extremes in northern China were projected by applying the statistical downscaling to Hadley Centre Coupled Model Version 3 (HadCM3) simulations under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 (RCP 4.5) scenario of the Fifth Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). The results showed that the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperatures will increase by about 1.5℃, and the 10th of daily minimum temperatures will increase by about 2℃ during the period 2011-35 relative to 1980-99.  相似文献   

Simulation and Projection of Changes in Rainy Season Precipitation over China Using the WRF Model   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

WANG Shuzhou  YU Entao 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2013,27(4):577-584

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used in a regional climate model configuration to simulate past precipitation climate of China during the rainy season (May-September) of 1981-2000, and to investigate potential future (2041-2060 and 2081-2100) changes in precipitation over China relative to the reference period 1981-2000. WRF is run with initial conditions from a coupled general circulation model, i.e., the high-resolution version of MIROC (Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate). WRF reproduces the observed distribution of rainy season precipitation in 1981-2000 and its interannual variations better than MIROC. MIROC projects increases in rainy season precipitation over most parts of China and decreases of more than 25 mm over parts of Taiwan and central Tibet by the mid-21st century. WRF projects decreases in rainfall over southern Tibetan Plateau, Southwest China, and northwestern part of Northeast China, and increases in rainfall by more than 100 mm along the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau and over the lower reaches of the Yangtze River during 2041-2060. MIROC projects further increases in rainfall over most of China by the end of the 21st century, although simulated rainfall decreases by more than 25 mm over parts of Taiwan, Guangxi, Guizhou, and central Tibet. WRF projects increased rainfall of more than 100 mm along the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau and over the lower reaches of the Yangtze River and decreased rainfall over Southwest China, and southern Tibetan Plateau by the end of the 21st century.  相似文献   

Improving Statistical Downscaling of General Circulation Models     

Matthew Lee Titus  Jinyu Sheng  Richard J. Greatbatch  Ian Folkins 《大气与海洋》2013,51(2):213-225

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